Saturday, January 24, 2009

The Cost of Stimulation

$825 Billion. That is the latest price tag placed on President Obama's stimulus package. Let's write the cost out to enhance our grasp of this cost: $825,000,000,000. As with any other price tag, we should strive to understand what we Americans get in return for $825,000,000,000.

First, we should deduct from this cost the portion of the stimulus plan that is made up of tax cuts. This is not a true cost to Americans - in fact, it is the opposite for our wallets. It is only a reduction of the Federal Government's revenue. At an estimated $300 Billion in tax cuts, the real cost of the stimulus initiative would be more akin to $525 Billion. 

But here we encounter a problem because issuing a refund check to someone who does not pay income taxes is a hand-out, not a tax cut. As maintained in previous posts, the swiftest, fairest, and most effective way to provide a tax cut is to immediately reduce payroll taxes. Disappointingly, this does not appear to be part of the plan's design.

So, truly, until we know how much of the $300 Billion are thinly-veiled handouts, we do not know the real cost of the stimulus plan. Therefore, we have no other figure to work with than the aforementioned $825 Billion.

Back to the question at hand -- what do we get in return for $825 Billion? Let's take Barack Obama at his word in stipulate that it is all about jobs. To be fair, Mr Obama did stress the importance of jobs during his campaign. Look no further than Joe Biden's mid-October claim that the number one problem facing the middle-class happens to be a three letter-word: J-O-B-S. Imagine the press reaction had Sarah Palin said that.

The President insists that his plan will create or save 3.5 million jobs. This jobs goal is a bit opaque because I cannot fathom a way to quantify how many jobs are saved. How do you prove that the money that was spent prevented a job loss?

Let's move on. The Obama administration thinks its a good idea to exchange $825 Billion for 3.5 million jobs. Okay then, my calculator renders a cost per job of approximately $235,000. Seems a tad high, correct? 

Far better just to give each of the 3.5 million job loss victims $35,000 each. Then the stimulus plan can be called an Unemployment Assistance Plan and cost $122 Billion. Our children and grandchildren may appreciate that we did not burden them with the extra $703 Billion.

Just an idea.

Friday, January 23, 2009

Tim Geithner Does a Mean Rumba

A different type of government, President Obama? One that is transparent? Let's see: 

Sen. John Kyl (R-Arizona): "You made the same mistakes on your 2001 and 2002 taxes as you did on your 2003 and 2004 taxes, which you corrected -- at any time before being asked to be Treasury secretary did you think to go back and pay your back taxes from '01 and '02?" Hey, Mr. Treasury Secretary hopeful, did you only decide to pay back taxes when you calculated it would be politically expedient?

"Isn't it a fact that you immediately or very quickly realized that the same mistake you made in 2003 and '04 was probably made in '01 and 02 but the statute of limitations had run out and you didn't have to pay taxes for the other years?" We are all under the impression that you are not an idiot and therefore knew exactly what you were doing.

Tim "I want to run the IRS" Geithner: "It was a mistake, the IRS told me I had fulfilled my obligation, I should have caught it." Dude, gimme a break, of course I tried to put one over the IRS -- you know it and so does anyone watching me squirm now. But I was told that if I keep saying "mistake, mistake, sorry, sorry" that you guys would cut me some slack. I need a bail-out here.

Kyl: "Would you answer my question rather than dancing around it, please? The question is whether it occurred to you before you were nominated or approached to be nominated that, in point of fact, you didn't have to go beyond [your '03 and '04 taxes] because of the statute of limitations?" Stop jacking with me, you mealy-mouth tax dodger and fess up.

Geithner: "I did not believe I had the obligation to go back. I did not think about that until I was going through the vetting process....I had no occasion to think about it and I might not have thought about it had I not gone through the vetting process." There...I said it. I paid because I want this job. By the way, with the Democratic majority I'm gonna get this job no matter what because I'm the only one that can save the economy. And, yes, I'm trying to make eye contact and speak up but I just can't.

President Obama (Inauguration Speech): "What is required of us now is a new era of responsibility – a recognition, on the part of every American, that we have duties to ourselves, our nation..." 

This is Change? Good Grief!

P.S. Didn't Barack Obama nominate Bill Richardson for Secretary of Commerce? That didn't work out very well either. Something about an investigation into Pay for Play and ethics.

Wednesday, January 21, 2009

Obama's Inauguration Day

President Obama's Inaugural Address was a good one. Not great, but it will do. The images themselves carried the day. He could have just stood there and read the ingredients from a packet of Uncle Ben's Ready Rice (Cajun Style) and the crowd would have cheered wildly. 

My favorite part of the speech was the evoking of George Washington's troops during the Revolutionary War and linking that into his conclusion -- very good. Worse part was not knowing that he was the 43rd American, not the 44th, to take the oath. Grover Cleveland was the 22nd and 24th President. 43 men have sworn the Presidential Oath. 

I read the speech before I heard it. It looked better on paper. 

I wonder how many tingles went up Chris Matthew's leg, thigh, back, or neck during the speech. Matthews is a multi-tingle guy, you know. 

Those in the crowd that booed President Bush and Laura Bush and President Bush 41 are the low class elements that should be prevented from attending events such as these. They are cut from the same unsavory and odious cloth as those who would yell "pig" when they saw a police officer years ago and today live in a home that has an alarm system directly linked to the nearest police station.

If you did not hear President's Bush's speech upon arrival in Midland, you should. It was the vintage Bush that once upon a time was better at connecting with an audience. Then he allowed the trappings of the White House and his handlers to alter his approach to people. 

How about Jimmy Carter's snub of Bill Clinton? He greeted George and Barbara Bush, walked right past Clinton and reached back to hurry-up Rosalyn. Apparently Carter is still sore that Clinton called him on the table for his free-lancing and errant "diplomacy" during the Clinton years. Carter is just a sour guy that knows that his presidency was an unmitigated disaster and no one really respects him.

All in all, a good day for America. We transition control from one man to another, from one party to another. Democracy in action.

Sunday, January 18, 2009

Best Lines of Inaugural Addresses

Theodore Roosevelt; March 4, 1905.  Remarking on the need to leave an unwasted and enlarged heritage to our children. "To do so we must show, not merely in great crisis, but in the everyday affairs of life, the qualities of practical intelligence, of courage, of hardihood, and endurance, and above all the power of devotion to a lofty ideal, which made great the men who founded this Republic in the days of Washington, which made great the men who preserved this Republic in the days of Abraham Lincoln."

Thomas Jefferson; March 4, 1801. "But every difference in opinion is not a difference in principle. We have called by different names brethren of the same principle. We are all Republicans, we are all Federalists."

"... what more is necessary to make us a happy and a prosperous people? Still, one more, fellow citizens - a wise and frugal government, which shall restrain men from injuring one another, shall leave them otherwise free to regulate their own pursuits of industry and improvement, and shall not take from the mouth of labor the bread it has earned."

Ronald W. Reagan; January 20, 1981. Pictured above left. "Now, so there will be no misunderstanding, it is not my intention to do away with government. It is, rather, to make it work - work with us, not over us; to stand by our side, not ride on our back. Government can and must provide opportunity, not smother it; foster productivity, not stifle it."

"As for the enemies of freedom, those who are potential adversaries, they will be reminded that peace is the highest aspiration of the American people. We will negotiate for it, sacrifice for it, we will not surrender for it - now or ever."

Abraham Lincoln; March 4, 1861. The Civil War approaches. "We are not enemies but friends. We must not be enemies. Though passion may have strained, it must not break our bonds of affection. The mystic chords of memory, stretching from every battlefield and patriot grave to every living heart and hearthstone all over this broad land, will yet swell the chorus of the Union, when again touched, as surely they will be, by the better angels of our nature."

Franklin D. Roosevelt; March 4, 1933. "So, first of all, let me assert my firm belief that the only thing we have to fear is fear itself ..."

John F. Kennedy; January 20, 1961. "Let every nation know ... that we shall pay any price, bear any burden, meet any hardship, support any friend, oppose any foe, in order to assure the survival and success of liberty." 

"Ask not what your country can do for you, ask what you can do for your country."

The best line of them all: 

Abraham Lincoln; Second Inaugural Address; March 4, 1865. The end of the Civil War in sight, President Lincoln delivers a brief speech aimed at healing a young, divided nation. "With malice toward none, with charity for all, with firmness in the right as God gives us to see the right, let us strive on to finish the work we are in, to bind up the nation's wounds, to care for him who shall have borne the battle and for his widow and his orphan, to do all which may achieve and cherish a just and lasting peace among ourselves and with all nations."  Lincoln was assassinated the following month.

Friday, January 16, 2009

A Hero, A Farewell, and Three Rats

Chesley Sullenberger III, the pilot of US Airways Flight 1549 is a true hero. He alerted the crew and passengers to prepare for a hard landing and then crash-landed the plane on the Hudson River. All passengers and crew survived. He was the last person to leave the plane. 154 other passengers and crew owe their life to this man. Imagine the deep pain and sorrow that would have otherwise been felt in countless homes if it had not been for the brave "Sully" Sullenberger.

President Bush gave a short farewell address to the nation last night. He was gracious, pensive, and relaxed. Main point - evoking the theme of his second Inaugural Address by asserting that the only practical way to achieve peace at home is to spread freedom abroad. He was generous in his compliments toward President-elect Obama and emphasized that we must not become complacent in defense from terrorist attacks.

Rats # 1 and 2 are Chris Matthews and the mentally unbalanced Keith Olbermann. Their petty, cynical, and just plain mean-spirited  attack of George Bush after his farewell address was disgraceful. These two master-carpers are so partisan that I'm sure that they would have withheld their praise of Chesley Sullenberger if they had received word that he had voted Republican.  

Rat #3 is some law firm named The Sanders Firm. I literally stumbled upon this outfit when searching for the spelling of the name of the US Airways pilot. Upon typing "us airways" into the search engine the first site to appear is Injured on Flight 1549? The site is a link to this group of parasites trolling for passengers from the plane crash that are ready to sue. These rats would surely sue Sullenberger if they thought it would bring a profit. Repulsive! 

Wednesday, January 14, 2009

Economic Freedom: The Road to Prosperity

The 2009 Index of Economic Freedom has just been released. The Wall Street Journal and The Heritage Foundation have collaborated for 15 years to measure economic freedom. The level of economic freedom is measured by a scoring system that includes the following components: Business Freedom; Trade Freedom; Fiscal Freedom; Government Size; Monetary Freedom; Investment Freedom; Financial Freedom; Property Rights; Freedom from Corruption; Labor Freedom.

Once again, those countries that scored highest on the Economic Freedom index enjoyed per capita income that was many times greater than those countries that repress these freedoms.

Here are the Top Ten countries:
  1. Hong Kong
  2. Singapore
  3. Australia
  4. Ireland
  5. New Zealand
  6. United States (down from #5 due to increase in taxes and govt spending)
  7. Canada
  8. Denmark
  9. Switzerland
  10. United Kingdom
The Worst Ten? (#1 is the worst, then count back):
  1. North Korea
  2. Zimbabwe
  3. Cuba
  4. Burma
  5. Eritrea
  6. Venezuela
  7. Democratic Republic of Congo
  8. Comoros
  9. Libya
  10. Sao Tome and Principe
Hmmm ... Singapore at 2nd best and Cuba 3rd worst out of 179 that were ranked. See "Cuba and Singapore: 1959 - 2009". There is no mystery here.

If you want prosperity, better to embrace free market -- yes, CAPITALIST ideals and practices. If living in misery and poverty is your pleasure, you can also make that choice and move to one of the countries that abhors capitalism. But beware, you may not have too many other choices once you unpack your bags -- they do have a way of smothering you. 

Tuesday, January 13, 2009

W Gets His Groove Back

Who was that guy at the White House press conference yesterday? He looked strikingly similar to George Bush. His gesticulations were certainly Bush-like. It was not Frank Caliendo -- Frank is chubby.

The man at this press conference passionately defended the successes of his administration's defense of America and, contritely, acknowledged mistakes over the past eight years. The George Bush that rummaged through the White House since 2004 was a total klutz when he tried to explain his actions, stumbling over words and sentences and too many times appearing listless. Moreover, he was loathe to admit to errors and, therefore, he could never get beyond them.

On January 12th, President Bush called the press out for having a lapse in memory over the days after September 11th. To paraphrase, President Bush reminded them of the many congressional hearings and media criticism for the failure to "connect the dots". Then, anti-terrorist laws and procedures having been established, the Bush Administration was incessantly vilified for having connected the dots. 

President Bush went on to remark that the same countries that assail the Guantanamo Bay detention center also refused to accept any of the misunderstood Guantanamo prisoners into their country. In short, he made it clear that if the choice was defending America or winning a popularity contest, the latter option simply never existed.

I wish this President Bush would have emerged years ago. It would have made for a very different national debate.